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Survival Statistics for Cancer of the Pancreas Cancer of the exocrine pancreas is rarely
curable and has an overall survival rate of less than 4%.The highest cure rate occurs if
the tumor is truly localized to the pancreas; however, this stage of disease accounts for
fewer than 20% of cases. For those patients with localized disease and small cancers
(<2 cm) with no lymph node metastases and no extension beyond the capsule
of the pancreas, complete surgical resection can yield actuarial 5-year survival rates of
18% to 24%. For patients with advanced cancers, the overall survival rate of all stages is
less than 1% at 5 years with most patients dying within 1 year. |
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Cancer of the pancreas: diagnostic accuracy and survival statistics. Gudjonsson B, Livstone EM, Spiro HM, Cancer 1978 Nov;42(5):2494-506 We have reviewed the natural history, reliability of diagnosis, and survivorship of 100 patients with adenocarcinoma of the pancreas, in the context of a thorough review of the literature on survival after therapy for adenocarcinoma of the pancreas. There is 40--62.5% error in the histologic confirmation of the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer. The error by inspection and palpation alone at the time of surgery may be as great as 25%. The absolute 5 year survival rate calculated from 61 clinical studies representing approximately 15,000 patients is 0.4%. The best series in the current literature has only 3% 5 year rate based upon the total population of pancreatic cancer patients. 12.3% of 5 year survivors from the world literature did not have curative surgery. Cancer of the pancreas. 50 years of surgery. Gudjonsson B, Cancer 1987 Nov 1;60(9):2284-303 Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut. The course of 196 patients with proven carcinoma of the pancreas seen at Yale New Haven Hospital from 1972 to 1982 was analyzed. Only 73% of the patients were preoperatively expected to have cancer of the pancreas. The patients who underwent resection had the longest mean survival but also the longest total hospital stay. Twenty-seven patients survived 1 year or more, but nonresected patients constituted 81.5% of this group. The only 5-year survivor did not undergo resection. Forty-seven percent of patients who survived 1 year and had not undergone gastroduodenal bypass, developed duodenal obstruction. It was not possible to identify a subset of patients with a favorable prognosis. A review totaling approximately 37000 patients, of whom 4100 had undergone resections, revealed only 156 survivors, 12 of whom had not been resected, for an overall survival rate of only 0.4%. No author had more than 3.4% of the total number of patients as 5-year survivors. Long-term survival after resection for ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas. Is it really improving? Nitecki SS, Sarr MG, Colby TV, van Heerden JA, Ann Surg 1995 Jan;221(1):59-66 Department of Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota. OBJECTIVE: The authors review their recent experience with resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas has traditionally had a 5-year survival rate less than 10% after curative resection. Recently, several groups have reported markedly improved 5-year survival rates (approaching 25%) for patients undergoing curative resection. METHODS: Institutional experience with 186 consecutive patients (1981-1991) with pathologic diagnoses of ductal adenocarcinoma undergoing pancreatic resection was reviewed. Histologic specimens of all 3-year survivors (n = 31) were re-reviewed by two pathologists, one internal and one external; nonductal pancreatic cancers then were excluded. RESULTS: After histologic re-review, 12 patients did not have ductal adenocarcinoma, leaving a total of 174 patients for analysis (102 men, 72 women; mean age 63 years, range 34-82 years). Mean follow-up was 22 months (range 4-109). Classical pancreaticoduodenectomy was performed in 71%, pylorus-preserving resection in 9%, and total pancreatectomy in 20%. Hospital mortality was 3%. Twenty-eight patients (16%) had macroscopically incomplete resections; 98 (56%) had lymph node metastases within the resected specimens, and 21 patients (12%) had extensive perineural invasion. Overall actuarial 5-year survival was 6.8%.Five-year survival was greater for node-negative versus node-positive patients (14% vs. 1%,), and for smaller (< 2 cm) versus larger tumors (20% vs. 1%,). The 5-year survival for the subset of patients with negative nodes and no perineural or duodenal invasion (69 patients) was 23%. Mean survival of the 12 excluded patients was 53 +/- 7 months compared with 17.5 +/- 1 months in the 174 patients with ductal pancreatic cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Five-year survival for patients undergoing pancreatic resection for lesions deemed to be clinically "curable" intraoperatively and histologically reviewed/confirmed to be ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas is approximately 7%. Survival is greater (23%) in the subset of patients with negative nodes and no duodenal or perineural invasions. Pathologic review of all patients with pancreatic ductal cancer adenocarcinoma is mandatory if survival data are to be meaningful. Long-term survival after curative
resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Clinicopathologic analysis of 5-year
survivors. Results of 1001 pancreatic resections for invasive ductal
adenocarcinoma of the pancreas. |